This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 22% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 22% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points betterwon 40%, needs 22% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 22% to break even | 19%–65% | 18 points betterwon 40%, needs 22% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 22% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points betterwon 33%, needs 22% |
| This season | 7 of 3023%needs 22% to break even | 13%–38% | 1 points betterwon 23%, needs 22% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 22% to break even | 21%–45% | 9 points betterwon 32%, needs 22% |
| Every game | 19 of 6828%needs 22% to break even | 20%–38% | 6 points betterwon 28%, needs 22% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the underdog, against STL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 34 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Portland Timbers game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Draw | Won | |
| May 9 | Decided by 6 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 9 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 24 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 23 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jun 13 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR to win moneylinePortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX+375at betPARX | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 21% to break even6 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-114at betPARX | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 53% to break even24 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-113at betPARX | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 53% to break even10 of 34 on the road | Record is this season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.