This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% | lost by 0.1goals |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 51% to break even | 16%–41% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 51% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last season | 6 of 3418%needs 51% to break even | 9%–31% | 34 points shortwon 18%, needs 51% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 14 of 6422%needs 51% to break even | 15%–31% | 29 points shortwon 22%, needs 51% | lost by 0.2goals |
Tonight TOR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 33 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against TOR to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, TOR gamesToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | +300at Hard Rock | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 25% to break even16 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-141at betPARX | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 59% to break even25 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+110at betPARX | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 48% to break even8 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -31.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.