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MLSGame lineDraw
D.C. United @ Toronto FC: draw
Won14 of 34last season · 41%
Best price+300Hard Rock
Price needs25.0%wins to break even
Every game26 of 64this season and last
Trend score-4.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 25% to break even | 5%–56% | 5 points shortwon 20%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 25% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points betterwon 30%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 25% to break even | 22%–61% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| This season | 12 of 3040%needs 25% to break even | 27%–55% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| Last season | 14 of 3441%needs 25% to break even | 28%–55% | 16 points betterwon 41%, needs 25% |
| Every game | 26 of 6441%needs 25% to break even | 31%–51% | 16 points betterwon 41%, needs 25% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TOR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 16 of 33 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
D.C. United @ Toronto FC: draw4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Toronto FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 |  RBNY | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Oct 14 |  ORL | Draw | Won |
| Oct 10 |  MTL | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  NSH | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  STL | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | ORL | Decided by 3 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | NSH | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  CHI | Draw | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NYC | Draw | Won |
| Aug 22 |  MIA | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Aug 19 |  CLT | Draw | Won |
| Aug 15 |  NE | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Jul 31 | NYC | Draw | Won |
| Jul 25 |  DC | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | NE | Draw | Won |
| Jul 16 | MTL | Draw | Won |
| May 23 | CHI | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| May 16 | CLT | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| May 9 | MIA | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| May 2 |  SJ | Draw | Won |
| Apr 25 |  ATL | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Apr 22 |  PHI | Draw | Won |
| Apr 18 |  ATX | Draw | Won |
| Apr 11 |  CIN | Draw | Won |
| Apr 4 |  COL | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  CLB | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | RBNY | Draw | Won |
| Mar 8 | CIN | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  VAN | Decided by 3 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  DAL | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | ORL | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Oct 8 |  LAFC | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | CHI | Draw | Won |
| Sep 27 | MIA | Draw | Won |
| Sep 20 | CLB | Draw | Won |
| Sep 13 | NE | Draw | Won |
| Aug 30 | MTL | Draw | Won |
| Aug 24 | ATL | Draw | Won |
| Aug 16 | CLB | Draw | Won |
| Aug 9 | PHI | Draw | Won |
| Jul 26 | CLT | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | NSH | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Jul 16 |  SD | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Jul 12 | ATL | Draw | Won |
| Jul 3 | NYC | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Jun 28 |  POR | Decided by 3 | Lost |
| Jun 25 | RBNY | Draw | Won |
| May 31 | CLT | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| May 28 | PHI | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| May 24 | NSH | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| May 17 | MTL | Decided by 5 | Lost |
| May 14 | CIN | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| May 10 | DC | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| May 3 | NE | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | NYC | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Apr 19 |  RSL | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MIN | Draw | Won |
| Apr 6 | MIA | Draw | Won |
| Mar 29 | VAN | Draw | Won |
| Mar 22 | RBNY | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | CHI | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | CIN | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | ORL | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | DC | Draw | Won |
More on Toronto FC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-141at betPARX | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 59% to break even25 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+110at betPARX | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 48% to break even8 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -31.4Not beating its price | |
| TOR to win moneylineToronto FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET |  -105at Hard Rock | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even8 of 33 at home | -33.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.