MLBPlayer propEarned runs

Jacob Misiorowski under 1.5 earned runs

Jacob MisiorowskiTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee BrewersToday 8:00 PM ET

Bet -199 ↗

Won21 of 32this season · 66%

Best price-199Kalshi

Price needs66.6%wins to break even

Every game31 of 51this season and last

Trend score-22.4Not beating its price

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	4 of 580%needs 67% to break even	44%–95%	13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67%
Last 10 games	7 of 1070%needs 67% to break even	44%–87%	3 points betterwon 70%, needs 67%
Last 15 games	9 of 1560%needs 67% to break even	39%–78%	7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67%
This season	21 of 3266%needs 67% to break even	51%–78%	1 points shortwon 66%, needs 67%
Last season	10 of 1953%needs 67% to break even	35%–70%	14 points shortwon 53%, needs 67%
Every game

Games like tonight

Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

Jacob Misiorowski under 1.5 earned runs1 book

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Kalshi-19966.6%BestBet ↗

Every game behind it

Earned runs in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Over 1.5 earned runsJacob Misiorowski

More on Jacob Misiorowski in this game

This player's other props in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Under 6.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Jacob Misiorowski

Date	Opponent	Earned runs	Beat 1.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 11	LAD	1	+0.5	Won
Oct 3	SD	2	-0.5	Lost
Sep 27	STL	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 20	BAL	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 15	PIT	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 8	CHC	1	+0.5	Won
Sep 2	CHC	5	-3.5	Lost
Aug 27	NYM	2	-0.5	Lost
Aug 21	ATL	0	+1.5	Won
Aug 15	LAD	1	+0.5	Won
Aug 9	MIN	3	-1.5	Lost
Aug 2	LAA	2	-0.5	Lost
Jul 26	COL	1	+0.5	Won
Jul 20	NYM	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 7	STL	3	-1.5	Lost
Jul 2	CIN	1	+0.5	Won
Jun 26	CHC	1	+0.5	Won
Jun 19	ATL	2	-0.5	Lost
Jun 12	PHI	0	+1.5	Won
Jun 6	COL	0	+1.5	Won
May 31	HOU	0	+1.5	Won
May 25	STL	1	+0.5	Won
May 19	CHC	0	+1.5	Won
May 13	SD	0	+1.5	Won
May 8	NYY	0	+1.5	Won
May 1	WSH	0	+1.5	Won
Apr 25	PIT	3	-1.5	Lost
Apr 19	MIA	1	+0.5	Won
Apr 14	TOR	2	-0.5	Lost
Apr 7	BOS	3	-1.5	Lost
Apr 1	TB	2	-0.5	Lost
Mar 26	CHW	1	+0.5	Won
Last season
Oct 16	LAD	1	+0.5	Won
Oct 11	CHC	1	+0.5	Won
Oct 6	CHC	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 27	CIN	1	+0.5	Won
Sep 19	STL	2	-0.5	Lost
Sep 13	STL	4	-2.5	Lost
Sep 7	PIT	1	+0.5	Won
Sep 1	PHI	3	-1.5	Lost
Aug 26	ARI	3	-1.5	Lost
Aug 20	CHC	3	-1.5	Lost
Aug 15	CIN	5	-3.5	Lost
Jul 28	CHC	2	-0.5	Lost
Jul 22	SEA	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 15	AL	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 8	LAD	1	+0.5	Won
Jul 2	NYM	5	-3.5	Lost
Jun 25	PIT	0	+1.5	Won
Jun 20	MIN	2	-0.5	Lost
Jun 12	STL	0	+1.5	Won