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MLBPlayer propTotal bases
Victor Mesa Jr. over 1.5 total bases
Won26 of 84this season · 31%
Best price+280Kalshi
Price needs26.3%wins to break even
Every game28 of 98this season and last
Trend score-18.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 26% to break even | 0%–35% | 26 points shortwon 0%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 26% to break even | 2%–35% | 16 points shortwon 10%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 26% to break even | 8%–41% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| This season | 26 of 8431%needs 26% to break even | 23%–40% | 5 points betterwon 31%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 2 of 1414%needs 26% to break even | 5%–35% | 12 points shortwon 14%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 28 of 9829%needs 26% to break even | 22%–37% | 2 points betterwon 29%, needs 26% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Victor Mesa Jr. over 1.5 total bases9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total bases in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total bases | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 15 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 |  NYY | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | NYY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | PHI | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | NYY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | NYY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BOS | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | BOS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 16 |  ATH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | ATH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  HOU | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | HOU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 |  ATL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 | ATL | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 8 | ATL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  TEX | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | TEX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | TEX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | TEX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 2 |  NYM | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 1 | NYM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 18 |  TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 |  BAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 14 | BAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 12 | ATH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | ATH | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 9 |  SEA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | SEA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 7 | SEA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 5 |  COL | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 4 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 3 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 |  CHW | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 31 | CHW | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 30 | TEX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | TEX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 23 | TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 20 | TOR | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 19 | BOS | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 18 | BOS | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | SEA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | SEA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 10 | SEA | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jul 9 | NYY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 7 | NYY | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jul 5 | HOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 4 | HOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 3 | HOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 2 |  KC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 1 | KC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 |  ARI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 27 | ARI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jun 26 | ARI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 25 | KC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 23 | KC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 22 | KC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 20 |  WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 17 |  LAD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 14 |  LAA | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jun 13 | LAA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 8 | BOS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 7 |  MIA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 6 | MIA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 3 |  DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 2 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 1 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 31 | LAA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 30 | LAA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 27 | BAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 26 | BAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 25 | BAL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 14 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | WSH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 8 | WSH | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 2 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 1 | WSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 30 |  SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 28 |  SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 27 | SD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 26 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 total basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET |  -110at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 total basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET |  -320at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 76% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Victor Mesa Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.