This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 24% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 24% to break even | 0%–35% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 24% to break even | 7%–46% | 4 points shortwon 20%, needs 24% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 24% to break even | 13%–48% | 2 points betterwon 27%, needs 24% |
| This season | 27 of 8432%needs 24% to break even | 24%–41% | 8 points betterwon 32%, needs 24% |
| Last season | 3 of 1421%needs 24% to break even | 9%–43% | 3 points shortwon 21%, needs 24% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
RBIs in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 RBIsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 home runsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET |
| 24%–39% |
| 6 points betterwon 31%, needs 24% |
| Date | Opponent | RBIs | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -400at BetMGM |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 80% to break even |
| -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +13000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 stolen basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +1074at Kalshi | 11 of 84· this season13%needs 9% to break even | Record is this season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 home runsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +945at Kalshi | 15 of 84· this season18%needs 10% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 runsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +230at BetMGM | 34 of 84· this season40%needs 30% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 walksVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +285at Fanatics | 23 of 84· this season27%needs 26% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 total basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | -320at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 76% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 hitsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | -103at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 total basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +280at Kalshi | 26 of 84· this season31%needs 26% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 total basesVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | -110at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 37 of 84· this season44%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 hitsVictor Mesa Jr. · Today 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 45 of 84· this season54%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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