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MLBPlayer propHome runs
Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 home runs
Won15 of 84this season · 18%
Best price+945Kalshi
Price needs9.6%wins to break even
Every game16 of 98this season and last
Trend score-5.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 10% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 10% to break even | 0%–35% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 10% to break even | 2%–35% | evenwon 10%, needs 10% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 10% to break even | 5%–33% | 4 points betterwon 13%, needs 10% |
| This season | 15 of 8418%needs 10% to break even | 12%–26% | 8 points betterwon 18%, needs 10% |
| Last season | 1 of 147%needs 10% to break even | 2%–27% | 2 points shortwon 7%, needs 10% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 home runs10 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Home runs in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Victor Mesa Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 stolen basesVictor Mesa Jr. |
