This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 49% to break even | 36%–94% | 26 points betterwon 75%, needs 49% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 875%needs 49% to break even | 46%–91% | 26 points betterwon 75%, needs 49% | won by 0.9goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1275%needs 49% to break even | 51%–90% | 26 points betterwon 75%, needs 49% | won by 0.9goals |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% | won by 0.7goals |
| Last season |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against RCL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 12 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against PAR PK, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR to win moneylineParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET |
| 11 of 2348%needs 49% to break even |
| 32%–64% |
| 1 points shortwon 48%, needs 49% |
| lost by 0.1goals |
| Every game | 15 of 2854%needs 49% to break even | 38%–68% | 5 points betterwon 54%, needs 49% | levelgoals |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | METZ | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 14 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 18 | NAN | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 24 | NAN | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | METZ | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even5 of 20 on the road |
| -5.1Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 39% to break even7 of 20 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 48% to break even6 of 20 on the road | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Draw, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | tS+270at theScore Bet | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 27% to break even8 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 64% to break even16 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 42% to break even11 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 39% to break even4 of 20 on the road | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 61% to break even9 of 20 on the road | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 57% to break even14 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, PAR gamesParis FC · Today 2:45 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 65% to break even13 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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