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Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-142Kalshi
Price needs58.7%wins to break even
Every game23 of 41this season and last
Trend score-18.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 59% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 59% to break even | 46%–83% | 8 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 59% to break even | 29%–81% | 2 points shortwon 57%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 19 of 3456%needs 59% to break even | 42%–69% | 3 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 23 of 4156%needs 59% to break even | 43%–68% | 3 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Paris FC @ RC Lens: over 2.55 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  REN | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  LOR | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  STR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  LYON | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  OLM | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  NICE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  TRY | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  PSG | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 | REN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  BRE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 |  LILL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MON | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | LOR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  HAC | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | STR | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | LYON | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | NICE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  TOU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 |  RCL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 |  AUX | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | OLM | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  ANG | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | PSG | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | TOU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | HAC | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | AUX | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | LILL | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | REN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | MON | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | LYON | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | RCL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | LOR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | NICE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | STR | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | BRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | METZ | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | OLM | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 17 | ANG | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |  +130at Bally Bet | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Paris FC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |  +373at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 21% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price | ||
| PAR to win moneylineParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |  +190at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -609at Kalshi | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 86% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.