This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 34% to break even | 35%–81% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 34% to break even | 29%–81% | 23 points betterwon 57%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 34% to break even | 21%–46% | 2 points shortwon 32%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 15 of 4137%needs 34% to break even | 25%–49% | 2 points betterwon 37%, needs 34% |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against par to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | METZ | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | NAN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | NAN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | METZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 21% to break even |
| -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 39% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +130at Bally Bet | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -609at Kalshi | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 86% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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