This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 3100%needs 50% to break even | 53%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 863%needs 50% to break even | 35%–84% | 12 points betterwon 63%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1155%needs 50% to break even | 32%–76% | 4 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 15 of 2658%needs 50% to break even | 42%–72% | 7 points betterwon 58%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 18 of 3158%needs 50% to break even | 43%–71% | 8 points betterwon 58%, needs 50% |
Tonight LIV plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 15 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 3 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | WOL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 28 | WHU | 7 | -4 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | BUR | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 8 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | WOL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | WHU | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 14 | BUR | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 25 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| 23 of 38· last season61%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -107at BetOnline | 11 of 26· last season42%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 11 of 38· last season29%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 76% to break even |
| -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +103at Polymarket | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| LIV to win moneylineLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +116at BetOnline | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| LIV -0.5 spreadLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +116at BetOnline | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -123at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +257at Polymarket | 6 of 38· last season16%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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