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EPLGame lineTotal
Brighton and Hove Albion @ Liverpool: over 2.5
Won23 of 38last season · 61%
Best price-179Polymarket
Price needs64.2%wins to break even
Every game27 of 45this season and last
Trend score-28.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 64% to break even | 27%–73% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 64% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points shortwon 57%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 64% to break even | 47%–72% | 4 points shortwon 61%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 27 of 4560%needs 64% to break even | 48%–71% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LIV plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Brighton and Hove Albion @ Liverpool: over 2.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  BRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BOU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  FUL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 |  IPS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  NFO | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  NEW | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | BRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 15 |  AVL | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  CHE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 3 |  MAN | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 |  CRY | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 |  EVE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | FUL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  BHA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  TOT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | WOL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | WHU | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | NFO | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  SUN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | NEW | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | BOU | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 |  ARS | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | FUL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  LEE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | WOL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | TOT | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | BHA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | LEE | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SUN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NFO | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | AVL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | BRE | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | MAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | CHE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | CRY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | EVE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | BUR | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | ARS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | NEW | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | BOU | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +155at Polymarket | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 3 of 3· last 5 games, 2 skipped100%needs 50% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, LIV gamesLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -164at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Liverpool in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.