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EPLGame lineTeam total
Under 2.5 (team total)
Won10 of 10last 10 games · 100%
Best price-316Polymarket
Price needs76.0%wins to break even
Every game39 of 45this season and last
Trend score-2.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 76% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 76% to break even | 65%–100% | 24 points betterwon 100%, needs 76% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 76% to break even | 79%–100% | 24 points betterwon 100%, needs 76% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 76% to break even | 75%–98% | 17 points betterwon 93%, needs 76% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 76% to break even | 72%–100% | 24 points betterwon 100%, needs 76% |
| Last season | 32 of 3884%needs 76% to break even | 72%–92% | 8 points betterwon 84%, needs 76% |
| Every game | 39 of 4587%needs 76% to break even | 76%–93% | 11 points betterwon 87%, needs 76% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LIV plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 2.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
LIV goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LIV goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  BRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MNC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BOU | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  FUL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  IPS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NFO | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  NEW | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | BRE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 15 |  AVL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  CHE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  MAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 |  CRY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 |  EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | FUL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  BHA | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  TOT | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | WOL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | WHU | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | NFO | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  SUN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | MNC | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | NEW | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | BOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BUR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 |  ARS | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | FUL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  LEE | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | TOT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | BHA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | LEE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | SUN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | WHU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NFO | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MNC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | AVL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | BRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | MAN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | CHE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | CRY | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | BUR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | ARS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 25 | NEW | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | BOU | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  -129at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 56% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 team totalLiverpool · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +245at Polymarket | 6 of 38· last season16%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Liverpool in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.