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EPLGame lineTotal
Brighton and Hove Albion @ Liverpool: over 3.5
Won4 of 7this season · 57%
Best price+137Polymarket
Price needs42.2%wins to break even
Every game11 of 45this season and last
Trend score-21.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 42% to break even | 29%–81% | 15 points betterwon 57%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 7 of 3818%needs 42% to break even | 10%–31% | 24 points shortwon 18%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 11 of 4524%needs 42% to break even | 16%–36% | 18 points shortwon 24%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BHA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LIV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Brighton and Hove Albion @ Liverpool: over 3.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CRY | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  SUN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ARS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  COV | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  LEE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  CHE | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  AVL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  MAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | LEE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  NEW | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | CHE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  TOT | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | BUR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  LIV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | SUN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | ARS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  NFO | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  BRE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | AVL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | CRY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 |  EVE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 |  FUL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  BOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  MNC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | BUR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | WHU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | ARS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | SUN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | LIV | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | WHU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | AVL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | NFO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | BRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CRY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | LEE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | MAN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | NEW | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | WOL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | CHE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | TOT | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | BOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | MNC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | EVE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | FUL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +155at Polymarket | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 19 of 26· last season73%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -164at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Brighton and Hove Albion in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.