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EPLGame lineTeam total
Under 1.5 (team total)
Won20 of 38last season · 53%
Best price-164Polymarket
Price needs62.1%wins to break even
Every game21 of 45this season and last
Trend score-41.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 62% to break even | 5%–56% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 62% to break even | 13%–56% | 32 points shortwon 30%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 62% to break even | 13%–48% | 35 points shortwon 27%, needs 62% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 62% to break even | 3%–45% | 48 points shortwon 14%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 20 of 3853%needs 62% to break even | 40%–65% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 21 of 4547%needs 62% to break even | 35%–59% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BHA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LIV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 1.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
BHA goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | BHA goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CRY | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SUN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ARS | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  COV | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  LEE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  CHE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  AVL | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  MAN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 17 | LEE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 9 | WOL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  NEW | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | CHE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  TOT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  LIV | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | SUN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | ARS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  NFO | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  BRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | AVL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | CRY | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  EVE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 |  FUL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  BOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  MNC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | ARS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | SUN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | LIV | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | WHU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | AVL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | NFO | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | BRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CRY | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | LEE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | MAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | NEW | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | WOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | CHE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | TOT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | BOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | MNC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | EVE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | FUL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +137at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.9Slight | |
| Over 2.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +500at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 17% to break even | Record is this season's | 7.9Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Brighton and Hove Albion in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.