This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 50% to break even | 18%–82% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 19 of 2673%needs 50% to break even | 57%–85% | 23 points betterwon 73%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 21 of 3266%needs 50% to break even | 51%–78% | 15 points betterwon 66%, needs 50% |
Tonight BHA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LIV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 9 | WOL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| May 2 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | BUR | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | BUR | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Dec 30 | WHU | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | WHU | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Dec 3 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 5 | WOL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even |
| -20.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -107at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 15 games, 5 skipped60%needs 52% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 17% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 7.9Good |
| BHA to win moneylineBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +220at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 31% to break even | 4.2Good |
| Over 1.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.9Slight |
| BHA +0.5 spreadBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -141at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 59% to break even | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -172at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -772at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 89% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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