This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 39% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 39% to break even | 10%–59% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 39% to break even | 37%–63% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 21 of 4547%needs 39% to break even | 35%–59% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
Tonight BHA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LIV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | WHU | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | WHU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even |
| -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -107at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 15 games, 5 skipped60%needs 52% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BHA gamesBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 17% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 7.9Good |
| BHA to win moneylineBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +220at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 31% to break even | 4.2Good |
| Over 1.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.9Slight |
| BHA +0.5 spreadBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -141at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 59% to break even | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -172at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalBrighton and Hove Albion · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -851at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 89% to break even | Record is last season's | -50.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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