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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tez Johnson over 24.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 15last season · 33%
Best price-131Kalshi
Price needs56.7%wins to break even
Every game7 of 21this season and last
Trend score-35.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 57% to break even | 7%–46% | 37 points shortwon 20%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 57% to break even | 13%–48% | 30 points shortwon 27%, needs 57% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 57% to break even | 12%–65% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 5 of 1533%needs 57% to break even | 17%–54% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 7 of 2133%needs 57% to break even | 19%–51% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tez Johnson over 24.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  PIT | 7 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  DAL | 64 | +39.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  GB | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 8 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | 49 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CAR | -1 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ATL | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | 5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 6 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  NE | 42 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  NO | 43 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  DET | 58 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  SF | 45 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 59 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 8 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | ATL | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsTez Johnson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR |  -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tez Johnson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsTez Johnson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR | -183at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsTez Johnson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.