Not listed on Polymarket.
+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| BAY | UCF | |
| Chance it wins | 52.6%fair odds -111 | 47.4%fair odds +111 |
| Edge at the best price | -4.0%Normal | -4.7%Normal |
| Kalshi | -121 | +101 |
Vig at the best pricesto win 4.3%Cheapest books →
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Not listed on Polymarket.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY to win moneylineBaylor | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 55% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | ||
| UCF to win moneylineUCF | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 50% to break even8 of 10 at home |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -23.8Not beating its price |
Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.
No one on the injury report.
No one on the injury report.
| This season | BAY offense | UCF defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 30.064th most | 21.7 allowed49th fewest |
| Passing yards a game | 286.016th most | 236.8 allowed36th most |
| Rushing yards a game | 150.260th fewest | 118.3 allowed41st fewest |
| Turnovers a game | 1.7 lost37th most | 1.8 forced23rd most |
| This season | UCF offense | BAY defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 31.752nd most | 14.7 allowed10th fewest |
| Passing yards a game | 192.733rd fewest | 240.0 allowed30th most |
| Rushing yards a game | 162.2 |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| BAY | 14 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
| 86.7 allowed9th fewest |
| Turnovers a game | 1.2 lost55th fewest | 2.0 forced15th most |
|---|
Ranks out of 138 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.
| This season | BAY | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards a game | 436.237th most | 354.839th fewest |
| Yards allowed a game | 326.738th fewest | 355.268th fewest |
| Third downs converted | 40%65th lowest | 36%33rd lowest |
| Plays a game | 81.8the most | 60.817th fewest |
| Passes as a share of plays | 52%18th highest | 47%64th highest |
| Turnover margin this season | +251st highest | +430th highest |
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