This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | lost by 1.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | won by 0.1points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% | lost by 1.6points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% | won by 10points |
| Last season | 5 of 1242% |
Tonight UCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BAY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against UCF to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 22%–64% |
| 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% |
| won by 0.8points |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 51% to break even | 27%–63% | 6 points shortwon 44%, needs 51% | won by 3.8points |
| -14 |
| -14 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 67 | +67 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -39 | -39 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 61 | +61 | Won |
| Aug 28 | JVST | 7 | +7 | Won |
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