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Won4 of 7this season · 57%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-23.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | won by 10.2points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 55% to break even | 19%–65% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% | won by 3.3points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% | won by 3.5points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 55% to break even | 29%–81% | 2 points betterwon 57%, needs 55% | won by 13points |
| Last season |
Games like tonight
Tonight BAY plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against UCF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 7 on the road.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
BAY to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against BAY to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
