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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |  -121at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.6Not beating its price | |
| 2 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -109at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -7.1Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalAtlanta Falcons · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -137at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price | |
| 4 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalDetroit Lions · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price | ||
| 5 | Under 6.5 1st quarter totalTennessee Titans · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 44% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -142at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| 7 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | Under 10.5 1st quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -172at Polymarket | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price | |
| 9 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalNew York Jets · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +124at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalTennessee Titans · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +143at Polymarket | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price | |
| 14 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -18.1Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalArizona Cardinals · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price | ||
| 16 | Under 6.5 1st quarter totalNew York Jets · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +140at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| 18 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalArizona Cardinals · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +107at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price | |
| 20 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | Under 10.5 1st quarter totalAtlanta Falcons · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -172at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| 22 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price | |
| 23 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price | |
| 24 | Over 10.5 1st quarter totalDetroit Lions · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +112at Polymarket | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price | |
| 25 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price | |
| 26 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work