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NFLGame line1st quarter total
Over 7.5 (1st quarter total)
Won8 of 17last season · 47%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-16.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 45% to break even | 29%–66% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 45% to break even | 32%–64% | 3 points betterwon 48%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 7.5 (1st quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NE | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 1st quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
More on New York Jets in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
