This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 49% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 49% to break even | 28%–63% | 4 points shortwon 45%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 11 of 2642%needs 49% to break even | 28%–58% | 6 points shortwon 42%, needs 49% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| Oct 15 |
| 3 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 17 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 17 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 39% to break even |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even |
| 3.3Good |
| SEA -2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| SEA -3.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | -3.2Not beating its price |
| SEA -1.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| SEA +2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 67% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| SEA -6.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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