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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOR +1.5 spreadToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET |  -158at Polymarket | 11 of 12· this season92%needs 61% to break even25 of 45 on the road | Record is this season's | -2.6Not beating its price | |
| 2 | Over 3.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even16 of 45 on the road | -12.3Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | Over 1.5 1st period totalEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even32 of 49 at home | -12.8Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | EDM -1.5 spreadEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +137at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even17 of 49 at home | -14.5Not beating its price | ||
| 5 | Over 3.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even23 of 49 at home | -15.1Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | EDM -0.5 1st period spreadEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even16 of 49 at home | -16.9Not beating its price | ||
| 7 | Over 6.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 53 of 88· last season60%needs 60% to break even31 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Over 6.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 60% to break even25 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price | |
| 9 | Under 6.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +131at Polymarket | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 43% to break even20 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Under 6.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +131at Polymarket | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 43% to break even18 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Under 4.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -199at Kalshi | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 67% to break even34 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| 12 | Under 2.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +134at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 43% to break even19 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| 13 | Under 1.5 1st period totalEdmonton Oilers · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 43% to break even17 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price | |
| 14 | TOR +0.5 1st period spreadToronto Maple Leafs · TOR @ EDM · Today 7:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 66% to break even28 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work