This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 61% to break even | 44%–95% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% | won by 0.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 61% to break even | 65%–98% | 29 points betterwon 90%, needs 61% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 61% to break even | 59%–92% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% | lost by 0.2goals |
| This season | 11 of 1292%needs 61% to break even | 70%–98% | 30 points betterwon 92%, needs 61% | won by 0.3goals |
| Last season |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against EDM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 25 of 45 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against TOR +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs |
| 50 of 8261%needs 61% to break even |
| 52%–69% |
| evenwon 61%, needs 61% |
| lost by 0.6goals |
| Every game | 61 of 9465%needs 61% to break even | 56%–72% | 4 points betterwon 65%, needs 61% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| +155at Polymarket |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even14 of 45 on the road |
| -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 27 of 82· last season33%needs 32% to break even11 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| TOR to win moneylineToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 40% to break even16 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even16 of 45 on the road | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even26 of 45 on the road | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 60% to break even25 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 43% to break even20 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 43% to break even19 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 64% to break even31 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 65% to break even29 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
| TOR +0.5 1st period spreadToronto Maple Leafs · Today 7:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 66% to break even28 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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