This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 53% to break even | 29%–81% | 4 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 53% to break even | 19%–42% | 24 points shortwon 29%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 15 of 4533%needs 53% to break even | 23%–46% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR to win moneylineParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | PIS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | CRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | VER | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | PIS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | VER | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | CRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 27 of 38· last season71%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 38· last season29%needs 11% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -1.5Not beating its price |
| PAR +1 spreadParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +125at BetUS | 23 of 33· last season70%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| PAR +1.5 spreadParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalParma · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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