This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 11% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 11% to break even | 7%–46% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 11% to break even | 13%–48% | 15 points betterwon 27%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 11% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 11% to break even | 19%–42% | 17 points betterwon 29%, needs 11% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 11% to break even | 17%–39% | 15 points betterwon 27%, needs 11% |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against par to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR +1 spreadParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | CRE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | CRE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 23 of 33· last season70%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.2Not beating its price |
| PAR +1.5 spreadParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParma · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -112at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.