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NHLGame lineTotal
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames: over 6.5
Won29 of 82last season · 35%
Best price-119Polymarket
Price needs54.3%wins to break even
Every game33 of 92this season and last
Trend score-35.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% | 5.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 6.2total goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 54% to break even | 13%–48% | 28 points shortwon 27%, needs 54% | 5.6total goals |
| This season | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 6.2total goals |
| Last season | 29 of 8235%needs 54% to break even | 27%–44% | 19 points shortwon 35%, needs 54% | 5.7total goals |
| Every game | 33 of 9236%needs 54% to break even | 28%–44% | 18 points shortwon 36%, needs 54% | 5.8total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight CGY plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 47 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames: over 6.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 |  DET | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 |  MIN | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  CAR | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 15 |  VGK | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  ANA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | ANA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 |  COL | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  SEA | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  VAN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 | SEA | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 |  LA | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 | COL | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  UTAH | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | SEA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | COL | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  DAL | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | ANA | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 | VGK | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 | COL | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | VAN | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 | ANA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 | LA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  TB | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  FLA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  STL | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | DET | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  NYI | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  NJ | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  NYR | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 |  WSH | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | CAR | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  OTT | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | DAL | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ANA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | LA | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  SJ | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  EDM | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  TOR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | SJ | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | MIN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | ANA | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | WSH | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 |  PIT | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | NJ | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | NYI | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 |  CHI | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  CBJ | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | PIT | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 |  BOS | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  MTL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | SEA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 |  NSH | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  PHI | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | BOS | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | EDM | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | EDM | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | VGK | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | SEA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 16 | SJ | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | LA | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | DET | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 |  BUF | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | UTAH | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | MIN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NSH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | CAR | 1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | FLA | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | TB | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | VAN | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | DAL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | BUF | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | CHI | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  WPG | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 | SJ | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | STL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | MIN | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CHI | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | CBJ | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | PHI | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | NSH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | OTT | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | TOR | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | NYR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | WPG | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MTL | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 | WPG | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | VGK | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 15 | UTAH | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | VGK | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | STL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | VAN | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | EDM | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, CGY gamesCalgary Flames · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |  +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even24 of 47 at home | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 game total, CGY gamesCalgary Flames · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 51% to break even34 of 47 at home | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Calgary Flames in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY to win moneylineCalgary Flames · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even26 of 47 at home | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| CGY +1.5 spreadCalgary Flames · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |  -199at Kalshi | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 67% to break even34 of 47 at home | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.