Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Odds (Oct 26): Spread, Total & Trends

The Daily Hit

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Odds (Oct 26): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

NHLTomorrow 8:30 PM ET

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

56% to win · best -139

Home

Calgary Flames

44% to win · best +121

SpreadTotalTo win

TOR–O 6.5-114

-139

CGY–U 6.5-105

+121

Books

No market

Polymarket

56%44%

Kalshi

No market

Average

56%44%

+1.5 spread: that team can lose by 1 goal and the bet still winsO 5.5 total: wins if the two teams score 6 or more goals combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline		Total
Book	TOR	CGY	O 6.5	U 6.5
Chance it wins	56.5%fair odds -130	43.5%fair odds +130	51.0%fair odds -104	49.0%fair odds +104
Edge at the best price	-2.9%Normal	-3.9%Normal	-4.3%Normal	-4.3%Normal
Polymarket	-139	+121

Before you bet

Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary

TORAway · 7-4-2 overall · 3-1-1 on the road3rd in the Atlantic Division

Last 5: LWWWW
Rest: 1 day off
Injuries: 5 listed, 5 out
Goalies: Sergei Bobrovsky · played most8 games · 89.5% of shots saved · 3.10 goals allowed a gameAnthony Stolarz5 games · 90.7% of shots saved · 2.79 goals allowed a game

Nick Blankenburg	D	Injured Reserve	Upper Body · back ~Nov 12
Marshall Rifai	D	Injured Reserve	Lower Body · back ~Oct 31
John Tavares	C	Injured Reserve	Lower Body · back ~Nov 27
Dakota Joshua	C	Injured Reserve	Abdomen · back ~Nov 8
Miles Wood	LW	Injured Reserve	Undisclosed · back ~Oct 26

CGYHome · 4-6-0 overall · 3-3-0 at home6th in the Pacific Division

Last 5: WLWWW
Rest: 1 day off
Injuries: 3 listed, 2 out
Goalies: Devin Cooley5 games · 91.2% of shots saved · 2.80 goals allowed a gameDustin Wolf5 games · 83.4% of shots saved · 4.85 goals allowed a game

Jonathan Huberdeau	LW	Injured Reserve	Hip · back ~Nov 2
Samuel Honzek	LW

When TOR has the puck

This season	TOR offense	CGY defense
Goals a game	3.85th most	3.9 allowed3rd most
Shots a game	28.611th most	30.5 allowed4th most
Power plays	30.2% scored4th highest	84.8% stopped5th highest

When CGY has the puck

This season	CGY offense	TOR defense
Goals a game	2.33rd fewest	3.1 allowed13th fewest
Shots a game	28.710th most	30.0 allowed8th most
Power plays	32.0% scored3rd highest	95.2% stoppedthe highest

Ranks out of 32 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.

Last time they met TOR beat CGY 4–2 · Feb 2 · last season

Team	1	2	3	Final
TOR	1	2	1	4
CGY	0	2	0	2

Before you bet

Loading injuries and weather…

Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

No bet in this game is winning more often than its price needs right now.

Bets not beating their price they've won less often than their price needs

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Trend score
Over 7.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs	+193at Polymarket	7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even15 of 46 on the road	-1.2Not beating its price
Under 6.5 game total, CGY gamesCalgary Flames	-105at Polymarket	53 of 82· last season65%needs 51% to break even34 of 47 at home
CGY to win moneylineCalgary Flames	+121at Polymarket	4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even26 of 47 at home
Under 5.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto Maple Leafs	+137at Polymarket	27 of 82· last season33%needs 42% to break even11 of 46 on the road
TOR to win moneylineToronto Maple Leafs	-139at Polymarket	4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even17 of 46 on the road
Over 7.5 game total, CGY gamesCalgary Flames	+193at Polymarket	14 of 82· last season17%needs 34% to break even5 of 47 at home

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

Trends

Loading game logs…

Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

TOR56.5%

CGY43.5%

$4,100 available at this price$990 available at this price

CGY 43.5%, no change today$8K traded · CGY win chance, last 24 hours
$8K traded today · $27K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

TOR56.5%

CGY43.5%

$8K traded · CGY win chance, last 24 hours
$8K traded today · $27K in open orders

Kalshi

Not listed on Kalshi.

Kalshi

Not listed on Kalshi.

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 5.5	61% chance	-179	Under 5.5+137
Over 6.5Most books' number	51% chance	-114$530 available at this price	Under 6.5-105$3 available at this price
Over 7.5	31% chance	+193	Under 7.5-270

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money traded$8K

$8K traded

Riding on it now$8Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $10,000 or more

No single trade of $10,000 or more on this game in the last 24 hours.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works

This season	TOR	CGY
Shots saved	90.0%9th highest	87.5%4th lowest
Shots that score	13.4%6th highest	8.0%the lowest
Penalty minutes a game	9.615th fewest	12.82nd most
Power play goals against	2	5
Short handed goals against	0	0
Power play goals	13	8

Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames

Prices