This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | won by 0.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% | lost by 1.6goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 66% to break even | 22%–61% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% | lost by 1.2goals |
| This season | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% | lost by 1.6goals |
| Last season | 49 of 8260%needs 66% to break even | 51%–68% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Every game | 53 of 9258%needs 66% to break even | 49%–66% | 8 points shortwon 58%, needs 66% | lost by 0.7goals |
Tonight CGY plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 34 of 47 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CGY +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.