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NHLGame lineTotal
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: over 5.5
Won52 of 95last season · 55%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game58 of 105this season and last
Trend score-24.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 61% to break even | 14%–73% | 21 points shortwon 40%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 61% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 61% to break even | 39%–78% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| This season | 6 of 1060%needs 61% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 52 of 9555%needs 61% to break even | 46%–63% | 6 points shortwon 55%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 58 of 10555%needs 61% to break even | 47%–63% | 5 points shortwon 55%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: over 5.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  NJ | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  PHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 |  PIT | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 |  DAL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | DAL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  TOR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  CGY | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 7 |  WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  STL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 30 |  LA | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 26 |  VGK | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 24 | VGK | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 22 | VGK | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 20 | VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 13 |  MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 11 | MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 9 | MIN | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 5 | MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 3 | MIN | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | LA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | LA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | LA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | LA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 16 |  SEA | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 | CGY | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 13 |  EDM | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | VGK | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | CGY | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | STL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | STL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | DAL | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  VAN | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 | CGY | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | WPG | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 | WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 | PIT | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  WSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  CHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | DAL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | PIT | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | WPG | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | SEA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | EDM | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | MIN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | DAL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  ANA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 2 | LA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  UTAH | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 |  SJ | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  DET | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | DET | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  MTL | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 |  OTT | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | TOR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 | PHI | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | ANA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | WSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 |  NSH | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | TOR | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CBJ | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | OTT | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  TB | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  FLA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 |  CAR | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | STL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | LA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | VGK | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | UTAH | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | MIN | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 16 | SEA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | NSH | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | FLA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | NSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | PHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 |  NYR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 |  NYI | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | VAN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | MTL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | MIN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | SJ | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | CHI | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NSH | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | NYR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | NYI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 |  BUF | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 | ANA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | VAN | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | EDM | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | TB | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | SJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | NJ | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | NJ | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  BOS | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 23 | CAR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | UTAH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | BOS | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | CBJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | BUF | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | DAL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | UTAH | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 | LA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 43 of 95· last season45%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 6.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |  -119at Polymarket | 58 of 95· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Colorado Avalanche in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.