This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 67% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 67% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points shortwon 53%, needs 67% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 67% to break even | 30%–78% | 11 points shortwon 56%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 41 of 7158%needs 67% to break even | 48%–67% | 9 points shortwon 58%, needs 67% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 shots on goalBrandon Hagel |
| 48%–66% |
| 9 points shortwon 57%, needs 67% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +170at BetMGM |
| 30 of 71· last season42%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +1300at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 7% to break even | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +8000at FanDuel | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 1% to break even | 0.7Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -150at BetMGM |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 60% to break even |
| 0.7Slight |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +180at FanDuel | 30 of 71· last season42%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -175at BetMGM | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +225at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 31% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at BetMGM | 29 of 71· last season41%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 42 of 71· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -325at BetMGM | 61 of 71· last season86%needs 76% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 30 of 71· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +130at DraftKings | 29 of 71· last season41%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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