This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 36% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points betterwon 47%, needs 36% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 36% to break even | 22%–70% | 9 points betterwon 44%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 30 of 7142%needs 36% to break even | 33%–52% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 shots on goalBrandon Hagel |
| 7 points betterwon 42%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 34 of 8043%needs 36% to break even | 34%–52% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% |
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -150at BetMGM |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 60% to break even |
| 0.7Slight |
| Over 2.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +8000at FanDuel | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 1% to break even | 0.7Slight |
| Over 1.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +1300at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 7% to break even | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +170at BetMGM | 30 of 71· last season42%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -175at BetMGM | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +225at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 31% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at BetMGM | 29 of 71· last season41%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 42 of 71· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -325at BetMGM | 61 of 71· last season86%needs 76% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 30 of 71· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 goalsBrandon Hagel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 41 of 71· last season58%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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