This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 32% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 32% to break even | 13%–56% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 32% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points betterwon 33%, needs 32% |
| This season | 3 of 1030%needs 32% to break even | 13%–56% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 33 of 7842%needs 32% to break even | 34%–52% | 10 points betterwon 42%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 36 of 8841%needs 32% to break even | 33%–50% | 9 points betterwon 41%, needs 32% |
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.