This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 8 of 2040%needs 51% to break even | 24%–58% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 12 of 2646%needs 51% to break even | 31%–62% | 5 points shortwon 46%, needs 51% |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAR +0.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| Oct 18 | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 71 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 56 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 | 58 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 37 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 57 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 75 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 75 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 62 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 59 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 41 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 40 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 68 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 42 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 20 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 49 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 47 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 59 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 52 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 23 | +25.5 | Won |
| 13 of 20· last season65%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.7Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 17 of 20· last season85%needs 67% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.5Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| LAR -0.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 54% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -9.5 spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -6.5 1st half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| LAR -4.5 1st half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| LAR -2.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -1.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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