This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% | won by 4.6points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | won by 2.7points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% | won by 1.3points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% | won by 2.2points |
| Last season |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 13 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
4th quarter margin in each game against LAR -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET |
| 24%–58% |
| 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| won by 1.7points |
| Every game | 11 of 2642%needs 45% to break even | 28%–58% | 2 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% | won by 1.8points |
| Date | Opponent | 4th quarter margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -12 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| +177at Polymarket |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even8 of 13 on the road |
| -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even8 of 13 on the road | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even3 of 13 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 41% to break even8 of 13 on the road | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even10 of 13 on the road | -14.2Not beating its price |
| LAR -2.5 2nd half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 50% to break even6 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| LAR -4.5 2nd half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 38% to break even5 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even2 of 13 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 36% to break even5 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even3 of 13 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| LAR +0.5 2nd quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 66% to break even8 of 13 on the road | Record is this season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 58% to break even9 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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