This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 40% to break even | 0%–35% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 40% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 40% to break even | 4%–50% | 23 points shortwon 17%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 40% to break even | 39%–76% | 19 points betterwon 59%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 40% to break even | 32%–64% | 8 points betterwon 48%, needs 40% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H total points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H total points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 37 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 3 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 50 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.