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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 20.5 (team total)
Won13 of 17last season · 76%
Best price+116Polymarket
Price needs46.3%wins to break even
Every game14 of 23this season and last
Trend score-15.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 46% to break even | 39%–78% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 46% to break even | 4%–50% | 30 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 46% to break even | 57%–89% | 30 points betterwon 76%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 46% to break even | 44%–76% | 15 points betterwon 61%, needs 46% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 20.5 (team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
LV points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LV points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  BUF | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  NE | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  KC | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  NO | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  LAC | 26 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MIA | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | KC | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  NYG | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  HOU | 21 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  PHI | 0 | +20.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  DEN | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | LAC | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  CLE | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 |  DAL | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | DEN | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  JAX | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | KC | 0 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  TEN | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  IND | 6 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  CHI | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  WSH | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | LAC | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | NE | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -145at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -126at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Las Vegas Raiders in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.