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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 28.5 (team total)
Won10 of 20last season · 50%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 26this season and last
Trend score-22.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 44% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 44% to break even | 4%–50% | 27 points shortwon 17%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 2050%needs 44% to break even | 33%–67% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 11 of 2642%needs 44% to break even | 28%–58% | 1 points shortwon 42%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Over 28.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
LAR points in each game against over 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LAR points | Beat 28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  ARI | 16 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  BUF | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  PHI | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  DEN | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYG | 28 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 |  SF | 7 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 |  SEA | 27 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  CHI | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CAR | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | ARI | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  ATL | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | SEA | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  DET | 41 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | ARI | 45 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | CAR | 28 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  TB | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | SEA | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | SF | 42 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  NO | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  JAX | 35 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  BAL | 17 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | SF | 23 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  IND | 27 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | PHI | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  TEN | 33 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  HOU | 14 | -14.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  +124at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -109at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 28.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Los Angeles Rams in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.