This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 39% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 10 of 2050%needs 39% to break even | 33%–67% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 12 of 2646%needs 39% to break even | 31%–62% | 8 points betterwon 46%, needs 39% |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against lar 2h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| This season |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 11 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even |
| -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 team totalLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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