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NFLGame lineSpread
LV +3.5 (spread)
Won5 of 6this season · 83%
Best price-109Polymarket
Price needs52.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score-11.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 52% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 52% to break even | 24%–61% | 11 points shortwon 41%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 52% to break even | 36%–68% | evenwon 52%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
LV +3.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against lv +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  BUF | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  NE | -28 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  KC | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  NO | 8 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  LAC | 12 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  MIA | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | KC | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  NYG | -24 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  HOU | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  PHI | -31 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  DEN | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | LAC | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  CLE | -14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 |  DAL | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | DEN | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  JAX | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | KC | -31 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  TEN | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  IND | -34 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  CHI | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 |  WSH | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | LAC | -11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | NE | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Las Vegas Raiders in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.