This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 57% to break even | 0%–35% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 57% to break even | 13%–56% | 27 points shortwon 30%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 57% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 57% to break even | 4%–50% | 41 points shortwon 17%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 57% to break even | 39%–76% | 1 points betterwon 59%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 57% to break even | 32%–64% | 10 points shortwon 48%, needs 57% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 40.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.