This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% | 68.8receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 49.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 42.7receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 36 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% | 61.8receiving yards |
| Last season | 10 of 1759% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 12 at home. Tonight: LAR allows 103.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 2nd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How LAR defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 39%–76% |
| 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
| 40.9receiving yards |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 53% to break even | 32%–64% | 5 points shortwon 48%, needs 53% | 46.4receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 97 | -56.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 41 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 44 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 43 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 119 | -78.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 27 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 30 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 49 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 43 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 24 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 20 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 28 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 47 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 28 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 38 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 33 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 70 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 62 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 13 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 145 | -104.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 12 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 54 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| -116at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even5 of 12 at home |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even5 of 12 at home | -9.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +114at BetRivers |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even5 of 12 at home |
| -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 39% to break even4 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Tomorrow 4:25 PM ET | -137at BetOnline | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 58% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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