This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 53% to break even | 65%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 53% to break even | 24%–61% | 12 points shortwon 41%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 53% to break even | 36%–68% | 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 40.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 97 | +56.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 41 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 44 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 43 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 119 | +78.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 27 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 30 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 49 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 43 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 24 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 28 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 47 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 28 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 38 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 33 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 70 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 62 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 13 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 145 | +104.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 12 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 54 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 40.5 receiving yardsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 receptionsTre Tucker · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -135at BetMGM | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.