This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 56% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 56% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 56% to break even | 28%–67% | 9 points shortwon 47%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 56% to break even | 39%–76% | 3 points betterwon 59%, needs 56% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor |
| Every game |
| 14 of 2361%needs 56% to break even |
| 44%–76% |
| 5 points betterwon 61%, needs 56% |
| 57 |
| +42.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 37 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 40 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 23 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 33 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 36 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 42 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 21 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 38 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 16 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 50 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 27 | +12.5 | Won |
| +105at Kalshi |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even |
| -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +111at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 114.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 70.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 71.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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