This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 20%needs 39% to break even | 0%–58% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 1.5receptions |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 20%needs 39% to break even | 0%–58% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 1.5receptions |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 20%needs 39% to break even | 0%–58% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 1.5receptions |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 39% to break even | 0%–73% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 2receptions |
| Last season | 0 of 10% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: MIN allows 3.2 receptions a game to tight ends, the fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 5.5): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–73% |
| 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% |
| 1receptions |
| Every game | 0 of 20%needs 39% to break even | 0%–58% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 1.5receptions |
| +129at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -199at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +134at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -183at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -107at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -126at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -154at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | +114at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | +166at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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