This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 20%needs 38% to break even | 0%–58% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 18receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 20%needs 38% to break even | 0%–58% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 18receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 20%needs 38% to break even | 0%–58% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 18receiving yards |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 20receiving yards |
| Last season | 0 of 10% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: MIN allows 44.2 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the 10th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 54.2): an easy matchup for this bet. How MIN defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–73% |
| 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| 16receiving yards |
| Every game | 0 of 20%needs 38% to break even | 0%–58% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 18receiving yards |
| -168at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -107at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | +134at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +159at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Over 1.5 receptionsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | -161at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWill Mallory · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWarren out: next up at TE | +129at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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