This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 66% to break even | 44%–87% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 66% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 66% to break even | 34%–71% | 13 points shortwon 53%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 66% to break even | 42%–74% | 7 points shortwon 59%, needs 66% |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
DET points in each game against under 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DET points | Beat 31.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 45 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 26 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 19 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 10 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 44 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 9 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 44 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 17 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 37 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 38 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 52 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 13 | +18.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 31.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.