This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 54% to break even | 54%–93% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 54% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 54% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 54% to break even | 51%–85% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 15 of 2268%needs 54% to break even | 51%–82% | 14 points betterwon 68%, needs 54% |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against det 2q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 24 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.